Week 0

Jan 3 - Jan 7

Getting Ready for STATS 115

Notes Links Due
Getting to Know the Course Website     Take time go over the contents of this website, especially read the policies section. Do not forget to bookmark stats115.com.
Introduce Yourself to the Teaching Team The responses to this “quiz” will not be available to your classmates. The quiz is not timed. Jan 5, 5 pm
Get Your Tech Ready The responses to this “quiz” will help us make sure that you are ready for the first class in terms of your tech needs. The quiz is not timed but it will take about half an hour to an hour to complete all the tasks. Jan 5, 5:00 pm
Syllabus Quiz     Jan 5, 5:00 pm

Week 1

Jan 8 - 14

Notes Links Due
Introduction to STATS 115 and Bayesian Statistics     Welcome!!!
Reading Chapter 1
No discussion session
Bayes’ Rule for Events    
Reading Sections 2.1 and 2.2
Homework 1: Bayes’ Rule     Jan 15, 1:30 pm

Week 2

Jan 15 - 21

Notes Links Due
NO LECTURE on Monday due to Martin Luther King, Jr. Day
Discussion: Simulating Posterior Section 2.2
Bayes’ Rule for Random Variables    
Reading Section 2.3
Homework 2: Bayes’ Rule for Random Variables     Jan 22, 1:30 pm

Week 3

Jan 22 - 28

Notes Links Due
The Beta-Binomial Model    
Reading Chapter 3
Discussion: See you at the Finish Posterior Line
Balance and Sequentiality in Bayesian Analyses    
Reading Chapter 4
Homework 3: The Beta-Binomial Model, Balance, and Sequentiality     Jan 29, 1:30 pm

Week 4

Jan 29 - Feb 4

Notes Links Due
The Gamma-Poisson Model    
Reading Sections 5.1 and 5.2
Discussion: Exercises from Chapters 4 and 5
The Normal-Normal Model    
Reading Sections 5.3, 5.4, and 5.5
Homework 4: The Conjugate Families     Feb 5, 1:30 pm

Week 5

Feb 5 - 11

Notes Links Due
Posterior Approximation    
Reading Chapter 6
Discussion: Midterm Review    
MCMC Under the Hood    
Reading Chapter 7
Midterm Policies   
Formulae Sheet    It will be provided during the exam.
Midterm    In class Feb 12, 2:00 pm

Week 6

Feb 12 - 18

Notes Links Due
Midterm    In class Feb 12, 2:00 pm
No Discussion    
Posterior Inference and Prediction    
Reading Chapter 8
Homework 6: Posterior Inference and Prediction     Feb 20, 1:30 pm

Week 7

Feb 19 - 25

Notes Links Due
NO LECTURE on Monday    due to Presidents’ Day Feb 12, 2:00 pm
Discussion: Midterm Solutions    
Simple Normal Regression    
Reading Chapter 9
Homework 7: Simple Normal Regression     Feb 26, 1:30 pm

Week 8

Feb 26 - Mar 3

Notes Links Due
Evaluating Regression Models    
Reading Chapter 10
Discussion: Regression Models    
Extending the Normal Regression    
Reading Chapter 11
Homework 8: Model Evaluation and Extending the Normal Regression     It is longer than usual, start early (opens on Monday) Mar 4, 1:30 pm

Week 9

Mar 4 - Mar 10

Notes Links Due
Logistic Regression    
Reading Chapter 13
Discussion:Logistic Regression    
Hierarchical Models with No Predictors    
Reading Chapter 14
Homework 9: Hierarchical Models with No Predictors     Mar 11, 1:30 pm

Week 10

Mar 11 - Mar 17

Notes Links Due
Hierarchical Models with Predictors     This will take two lectures
Reading Chapter 14
Discussion: Hands-on work team projects